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Assisted Living Is a Dying Model – Aging in Place Is the Future

By Anthony Cirillo October 12, 2025 Senior Living

Two recent pieces – one from McKnight’s Senior Living and another from JD Supra – grabbed attention with the same finding: 76% of older adults are not even considering senior living. Both were reporting on the University of Michigan’s National Poll on Healthy Aging, which asked adults aged 50 to 80 about their plans. The results were clear: most want to stay home, not move into an institution.

These aren’t two different studies. It’s the same data point echoed across sectors – senior living trade media and legal analysis alike. And the conclusion is hard to escape: assisted living is no longer the default model. It’s a system propped up by wealth, struggling labor forces, and Medicaid loopholes – and it’s looking more like a relic than a solution.

The Assisted Living Mirage

Let’s be blunt: assisted living markets itself as independence with a safety net. But what it really sells is a tiered system of haves and have-nots.

  • If you can pay privately, you may get a well-staffed facility, resort-style amenities, and more choices.
  • If you can’t, you’re left with cheaper facilities, thin staffing, lower standards, or you’re forced to stay at home under unsafe conditions until crisis strikes.

It’s not just expensive – it’s fundamentally inequitable. Medicaid rarely covers assisted living comprehensively, and when it does, it’s often at reimbursement rates so low that facilities cut corners. Many workers – who are overwhelmingly immigrants, women, and people of color – don’t even get adequate health coverage themselves. Imagine that: the very people providing intimate care for frail elders often can’t afford care for their own families.

The Workforce Is Cracking

Here’s the dirty secret that few in the assisted living industry want to say out loud: the system depends on immigrant labor.

Aides, personal care attendants, and low-wage frontline staff are the backbone of senior living, and those positions are rarely filled by native born Americans. Thus, instead of creating a system that cares for the senior citizens and the care personnel, we have created one that is heavily dependent on the immigrant workforce.

With less people to work in the senior care facilities, residents go without showers, medications get delayed, workers burn out and quit.

And who pays the price? Older adults, and the families scrambling to fill the gaps.

Medicaid: A Lifeline with Holes

For low- and middle-income older adults, Medicaid is supposed to be the safety net. But the patchwork of state-by-state waivers and underfunded home- and community-based services (HCBS) leaves huge gaps. Waitlists stretch into years. Coverage doesn’t match real-world needs. Families are forced into impossible trade-offs: pay out-of-pocket until you’re broke, or risk unsafe living arrangements.

Meanwhile, assisted living operators blame Medicaid for “low rates” while quietly catering to private-pay residents who can afford $6,000–$8,000 a month. The rest? They’re left out in the cold.

Why Aging in Place Wins

Here’s what the poll revealed at its core: people don’t trust assisted living. They see it as too costly, too institutional, and too risky. They want to stay in their homes and communities. And honestly? They’re right.

Aging in place is not just sentiment – it’s a survival strategy. With planning and support, it can deliver:

  • Lower costs than institutional care, especially at lower levels of need.
  • Greater dignity by keeping older adults in control of their environment.
  • Stronger social ties by staying connected to neighborhoods, friends, and faith communities.
  • Better outcomes when paired with the right home modifications, in-home care, and technology.

Steps Caregivers and Older Adults Can Take

So what now? If assisted living is a dying model, how do we make aging in place work?

Start Early

Don’t wait for a fall or hospitalization. Modify homes now – grab bars, ramps, no-step showers, smart lighting, widened doorways.

Tap into Community Networks

Explore “Village” models or Naturally Occurring Retirement Communities (NORCs). These grassroots, often volunteer-driven groups pool resources to provide rides, errands, and social connection.

Leverage Technology – But Don’t Rely on It Alone

Smart devices, medication reminders, and remote monitoring are great. But nothing replaces human presence. Technology should enhance, not replace, care.

Push for Policy Change

Demand expansion of Medicaid’s home- and community-based services. Insist on fair wages and benefits for direct care workers.

Build a Care Team

Aging in place is not a solo project. Caregivers need backup – siblings, neighbors, church groups, paid aides. Don’t wait until burnout sets in.

Assisted Living: Stop Pretending

Here’s the in-your-face truth: assisted living is not failing because people don’t understand it. It’s failing because people do understand it. They see the price tags, the staff turnover, the understaffed night shifts, the glossy brochures that don’t match the reality.

Older adults and caregivers are voting with their feet. They want something better than a half-institutional compromise. They want dignity, affordability, safety, and community. Assisted living can cling to the old model if it wants, but the future belongs to aging in place.

And the sooner we stop pretending otherwise, the sooner we can build a system that actually works – for everyone.

Let’s Have a Conversation:

Are you looking at senior living/assisted living options or have you decided to age in place? What are your caregiver options? Have you accommodated your home for aging in place?

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Barbara Partridge

I am in my 70s and live with my husband, but if I were on my own I would consider independent living, depending on how many friends and family I had nearby. As you age, friends fall away and family may move so it can be lonely and lacking in convenient recreational opportunities . Some of my friends have moved into independent living because they are gregarious and love the opportunity to mingle and participate in the activities offered. In Canada, there is some support for lower-income seniors in all types of facilities, but mainly the government-run ones.

Anthony Cirillo

Do what is right for you Barbara.

Lin

Great article! I am well into my 70’s and so are my friends and none of us want to go to assisted living or CCRCs (Continuing Care Retirement Communities). The glossy brochures promise never ending fun and that might be true if you start out in the independent housing where you enjoy many activities and communal dining. But that changes once the staff decides that you can no longer handle your independent living apartment and you are sent to the assisted living part of the community. My mother-in-law went through this so I am aware of what it looks like. The fun and trips and community wide activities end and so does the communal dining. You are now placed in a single room and you eat with the other folks in the assisted living wing. You are no longer considered safe for community trips to see plays or the orchestra. You are now the hidden part of the CCRC; the part that is never shone in the glossy brochures or in the tours of the community.

Anthony Cirillo

You hit it Lin. Thanks

Henrietta

Ugh–that sounds horrible!

Diane

I agree with all of this. Unfortunately, families are scattered today and it is not always obvious that all seniors can be well cared for at home. We definitely need to help the “sandwich” generation who do double duty at home and I think it would be a lot more affordable if the money went to them (mostly women) instead of institutions. Having said that, they would need help and monitoring from case workers to assure proper follow-ups.

Anthony Cirillo

Thank you Diane. Perhaps this is aspirational with the goal of moving toward it. The model is unsustainable and the costs out of reach for most. It’s a have and have not world.

Kate

I am a 70 year old woman who lives alone. I have a home that will be paid off in 5 years. I have no intention of moving to an institution of any sort. I exercise and take care of myself. I’m intensely independent and guard my independence and privacy. I drive myself to all appointments and shopping. When I leave my home for good, it will be when the mortuary comes for my body.

Anthony Cirillo

Keep rocking it Kate.

Joyce

Good for you! My kind of lady!!

marcia

This is really editorial (opinion piece).

Anthony Cirillo

Certainly it is what I believe based on the evidence. Senior living is experience huge growth right now but it is in the independent living sector.

The Author

Anthony Cirillo is founder of Sage Stream, the Senior Entertainment/Education Network and president of The Aging Experience, which helps people and companies prepare for aging before it becomes a crisis. A health and aging expert, professional speaker, and media influencer, he is a Fellow of the American College of Healthcare Executives with a master’s from the University of Pennsylvania. Anthony serves as a Policy RoundTable member for Nationwide Financial and Bank of America.

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